Uncertainty in Integrated Assessment Models of Climate Change: Alternative Analytical Approaches
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Integrated Assessment Models of Global Climate Change
We review recent work in the integrated assessment modeling of global climate change. This field has grown rapidly since 1990. Integrated assessment models seek to combine knowledge from multiple disciplines in formal integrated representations; inform policy-making, structure knowledge, and prioritize key uncertainties; and advance knowledge of broad system linkages and feedbacks, particularly...
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Integrated Assessment Models of global climate change (IAMs) are an established tool to study interlinkages between the human and the natural system. Insights from these complex models are widely used to advise policy-makers and to inform the general public. But up to now there has been little understanding of how these models can be evaluated and community-wide standards are missing. To answer...
متن کاملDecomposing Integrated Assessment Climate Change
We present a decomposition approach for integrated assessment modeling of climate policy based on a linear approximation of the climate system. Our objective is to demonstrate the usefulness of decomposition for integrated assessment models posed in a complementarity format. First, the complementarity formulation cum decomposition permits a precise representation of post-terminal damages thereb...
متن کاملProbabilistic Integrated Assessment of “ Dangerous ” Climate Change
1. M. A. El-Sayed, Acc. Chem. Res. 34, 257 (2001). 2. C. B. Murray, C. R. Kagan, M. G. Bawendi, Annu. Rev. Mater. Sci. 30, 545 (2000). 3. V. C. Sundar, H. J. Eisler, M. G. Bawendi, Adv. Mater. 14, 739 (2002). 4. M. A. Petruska, A. V. Malko, P. M. Voyles, V. I. Klimov, Adv. Mater. 15, 610 (2003). 5. C. T. Black, C. B. Murray, R. L. Sandstrom, S. H. Sun, Science 290, 1131 (2000). 6. M. Pileni, J....
متن کاملProbabilistic integrated assessment of "dangerous" climate change.
Climate policy decisions are being made despite layers of uncertainty. Such decisions directly influence the potential for "dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system." We mapped a metric for this concept, based on Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assessment of climate impacts, onto probability distributions of future climate change produced from uncertainty in key pa...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: SSRN Electronic Journal
سال: 2011
ISSN: 1556-5068
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1756685